{"id":5440,"date":"2011-05-07T15:07:18","date_gmt":"2011-05-07T23:07:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/?p=5440"},"modified":"2015-10-28T15:52:06","modified_gmt":"2015-10-28T23:52:06","slug":"liars-poker-michael-lewis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/2011\/05\/07\/liars-poker-michael-lewis\/","title":{"rendered":"Liar&#8217;s Poker &#8211; Michael Lewis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/759-1.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"5441\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/2011\/05\/07\/liars-poker-michael-lewis\/759-1\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/759-1.jpg?fit=420%2C640&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"420,640\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Liar&amp;#8217;s Poker\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/759-1.jpg?fit=420%2C640&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/759-1-196x300.jpg?resize=196%2C300\" alt=\"\" title=\"Liar&#039;s Poker\" width=\"196\" height=\"300\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/759-1.jpg?resize=196%2C300&amp;ssl=1 196w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/759-1.jpg?resize=98%2C150&amp;ssl=1 98w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/759-1.jpg?w=420&amp;ssl=1 420w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 196px) 100vw, 196px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u65e9\u9663\u5b50\u548c\u4e00\u500b\u8f49\u884c\u4e0d\u7576\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\uff0c\u8dd1\u53bb\u8b80MBA\u5165\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884c\u8cfa\u5927\u9322\u7684\u820a\u540c\u4e8b\u5403\u98ef\uff0c\u5f88\u81ea\u7136\u804a\u8d77\u65e9\u5169\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u3002\u7576\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u4e5f\u4e00\u81f3\u8a8d\u70ba\u8caa\u5f97\u7121\u53ad\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u884c\u696d\uff0c\u662f\u6d77\u562f\u7684\u5143\u5147\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u8eab\u70ba\u5c40\u5167\u4eba\uff0c\u537b\u6301\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u610f\u898b\u3002\u4ed6\u8a8d\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u53ea\u770b\u9078\u7968\u7684\u77ed\u8996\u7d93\u6fdf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u548c\u76f2\u76ee\u8ffd\u9010\u5229\u6f64\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5143\u5147\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u884c\u696d\u53ea\u4e0d\u904e\u662f\u904e\u6c34\u6fd5\u8173\u7684\u4e2d\u9593\u4eba\uff0c\u6642\u52e2\u9020\u82f1\u96c4\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u8cfa\u5927\u9322\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u6211\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u4ed6\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4f46\u8207\u4ed6\u8ac7\u8a71\u5f88\u6709\u555f\u767c\u6027\uff0c\u4ea6\u5f15\u8b49\u4e86Liar\u2019s Poker\u4e00\u66f8\u7684\u53ef\u4fe1\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u96d6\u7136\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u524d\u51fa\u7248\uff0c\u4f46\u73fe\u5728\u770b\u4e5f\u5b8c\u5168\u6c92\u6709\u904e\u6642\u7684\u611f\u89ba\uff0c\u5927\u6168\u91d1\u878d\u884c\u696d\u4e2d\u4eba\u6027\u8caa\u5a6a\u662f\u6046\u53e4\u5e38\u7406\u3002\u64da\u805e\u6b64\u66f8\u662f\u83ef\u723e\u8857MBA\u4eba\u624b\u57f7\u4e00\u672c\u7684\u6c42\u751f\u6307\u5357\u5929\u66f8\u3002\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\u672c\u8eab\u4e5f\u662f\u500b\u50b3\u5947\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u540d\u6821MBA\u7562\u696d\uff0c\u5165\u8077\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884cSalomon 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Brothers\u7684\u8208\u8870\u53f2\uff0c\u5f9e\u5982\u4f55\u767c\u660e\u4e26\u58df\u65b7\u6309\u63ed\u50b5\u5377\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u8e8d\u8eab\u6210\u70ba\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u6700\u5927\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884c\u3002\u53c8\u56e0\u70ba\u5206\u82b1\u7d05\u5b64\u5bd2\u7e2e\u6578\uff0c\u628a\u61c2\u5f97\u64cd\u63a7\u6309\u63ed\u7684\u50b5\u5377\u7d93\u7d00\u8feb\u8d70\u53bb\u7af6\u722d\u5c0d\u624b\uff0c\u4e00\u624b\u6467\u6bc0\u81ea\u5df2\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u58df\u65b7\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u66f8\u4e2d\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u66fe\u7d93\u5412\u54a4\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u540d\u5b57\uff0cRanieri\u5f9e\u4fe1\u5dee\u5230\u7d05\u8932\u5b50\u7d93\u7d00\u7684\u51fa\u8eab\uff0c\u4e00\u8def\u722c\u5230\u6309\u63ed\u50b5\u5377\u90e8\u7e3d\u88c1\u662f\u500b\u50b3\u5947\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u800c\u6309\u63ed\u50b5\u5377\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u8208\u8d77\u66f4\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u3002Ranieri\u6e2c\u671f\u6309\u63ed\u50b5\u5377\u6703\u662f\u500b\u5927\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u514c\u73fe\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u537b\u56e0\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6e1b\u7a05\u653f\u7b56\u6191\u7a7a\u5275\u9020\u51fa\u4f86\u3002\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u5f8c\u7684\u6b21\u6309\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u5176\u8d77\u6e90\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u76f4\u63a5\u8ffd\u6eaf\u81f3Salomon 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Swinging Dick\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5834\u4e0a\u7684\u5927\u788c\u70ae\u3002\u5f8c\u4f86Salomon 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&quot;\u66f8\u8a55&quot;","block_context":{"text":"\u66f8\u8a55","link":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/category\/_books\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/20110120-025018.jpg?fit=794%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/20110120-025018.jpg?fit=794%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/20110120-025018.jpg?fit=794%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/20110120-025018.jpg?fit=794%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9013,"url":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/2015\/05\/21\/flash-boys-michael-lewis\/","url_meta":{"origin":5440,"position":1},"title":"Flash Boys &#8211; Michael Lewis","author":"hevangel","date":"May 21, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"\u6642\u9593\u503c\u5e7e\u591a\u9322\uff1f\u81ea\u4ee5\u70ba\u5927\u6642\u4ee3\u80a1\u795e\u4e0a\u8eab\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u6703\u544a\u8a34\u4f60\u6bcf\u79d2\u9418\u5e7e\u767e\u842c\u4e0a\u843d\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u4ee5\u79d2\u70ba\u8a08\u6642\u55ae\u4f4d\uff0c\u90a3\u662f\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d00\u904e\u6642\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u601d\u7dad\u3002\u5728\u73fe\u4eca\u96fb\u8166\u53d6\u4ee3\u4eba\u8166\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u6642\u9593\u662f\u4ee5\u6beb\u79d2(\u5343\u4efd\u4e4b\u4e00\u79d2)\u4f86\u8a08\u7b97\u3002\u4e09\u6beb\u79d2\u503c\u591a\u5c11\u9322\uff1f\u4fdd\u5b88\u4f30\u8a08\u7d04\u4e8c\u5341\u81f3\u56db\u5341\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u90a3\u662f\u9ad8\u983b\u4ea4\u6613\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u6536\u5165\u7e3d\u548c\u3002\u6b63\u6240\u8b02\u300c\u80fd\u77e5\u534a\u65e5\u4e8b\uff0c\u5bcc\u8cb4\u842c\u5343\u5e74\u300d\uff0c\u82e5\u679c\u4f60\u80fd\u5920\u6bd4\u5e02\u5834\u65e9\u4e00\u9ede\u77e5\u9053\u80a1\u50f9\u4e0a\u843d\uff0c\u4f60\u4fbf\u80fd\u7a69\u505a\u53ea\u8cfa\u4e0d\u8ce0\u7684\u8cb7\u8ce3\u3002\u5c0d\u9ad8\u983b\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u96fb\u8166\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5e7e\u6beb\u79d2\u7684\u5148\u6a5f\u4fbf\u8db3\u5920\u4ed6\u5011\u6436\u5148\u4e00\u6b65\u5165\u8ca8\u548c\u51fa\u8ca8\uff0c\u622a\u64ca\u80a1\u7968\u8cb7\u8ce3\u96d9\u65b9\u7684\u4e9b\u5fae\u5dee\u50f9\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e2d\u8cfa\u53d6\u6bcf\u80a1\u96f6\u9ede\u5e7e\u4ed9\u7684\u8584\u5229\u3002\u6bcf\u80a1\u96f6\u9ede\u5e7e\u4ed9\u770b\u4f3c\u4e0d\u591a\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u6bcf\u65e5\u6709\u5e7e\u767e\u5104\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5c71\u5927\u780d\u57cb\u6709\u67f4\uff0c\u4f55\u6cc1\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u5ea7\u8d85\u5927\u5c71\uff0c\u7121\u77e5\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5728\u4e0d\u77e5\u4e0d\u89ba\u9593\uff0c\u88ab\u9019\u73ed\u7121\u672c\u751f\u5229\u7684\u4e2d\u9593\u4eba\u62bd\u6389\u5e7e\u5341\u5104\u3002 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&quot;\u66f8\u8a55&quot;","block_context":{"text":"\u66f8\u8a55","link":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/category\/_books\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/flash-boys-jkt_1.jpg?fit=770%2C1170&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/flash-boys-jkt_1.jpg?fit=770%2C1170&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/flash-boys-jkt_1.jpg?fit=770%2C1170&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/flash-boys-jkt_1.jpg?fit=770%2C1170&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3893,"url":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/2010\/01\/19\/fooled-by-randomness-nassim-nicholas-talech\/","url_meta":{"origin":5440,"position":2},"title":"Fooled by Randomness &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Talech","author":"hevangel","date":"January 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Talech\u3002\u6b64\u541b\u6295\u8cc7\u773c\u5149\u7368\u5230\u751a\u6709\u9060\u898b\ufe50\u5728\u4e00\u773e\u57fa\u91d1\u7d93\u7406\u9084\u6c89\u9189\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u6cab\u7684\u6642\u5019\ufe50\u4ed6\u5df2\u7d93\u9810\u8a00\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u7121\u53ef\u907f\u514d\ufe50\u4f86\u81e8\u53ea\u662f\u9072\u65e9\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3002\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u4ee4\u4e0d\u5c11\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4e00\u8216\u6e05\u888b\ufe50\u4ed6\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\u537b\u9006\u5e02\u72c2\u8cfa\u4e00\u767e\u4e8c\u5341\u5104\u3002Talech\u4e26\u975e\u666e\u901a\u7684\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u57fa\u91d1\u7d93\u7406\ufe50\u9664\u4e86\u7ba1\u7406\u57fa\u91d1\u5916\ufe50\u4ed6\u9084\u5728\u5927\u5b78\u7576\u54f2\u5b78\u6559\u6388\ufe50\u7814\u7a76\u96a8\u6a5f\u7387\u7684\u8a8d\u77e5\u8ad6\u3002 \u300c\u9ed1\u5929\u9d5d\u7406\u8ad6\u300d\u56e0\u70ba\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u88ab\u53d7\u8ffd\u6367\ufe50\u8ca1\u7d93\u754c\u4eba\u624b\u4e00\u672c\u5728\u95b1\u8b80\u60e1\u88dc\u3002\u5176\u5be6\u300c\u9ed1\u5929\u9d5d\u7406\u8ad6\u300d\u4e0d\u904e\u662f\u5728\u91cd\u8986\u4ed6\u820a\u4f5cFooled by Randomness\u7684\u5167\u5bb9\u3002\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u65e9\u5728\u300c\u9ed1\u5929\u9d5d\u7406\u8ad6\u300d\u767b\u4e0a\u66a2\u92b7\u66f8\u6392\u884c\u699c\u524d\ufe50\u5df2\u88ab\u8b7d\u70ba\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u5947\u66f8\ufe50\u81ea\u7d44\u6210cult\u6709\u4e00\u7fa4\u5fe0\u5be6\u8ffd\u96a8\u8005\u3002\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u4e2d\u6587\u8b6f\u4f5c\u300c\u96a8\u6a5f\u81f4\u5bcc\u7684\u50bb\u74dc\u300d\ufe50\u4e0d\u904e\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u6587\u540d\u7a31\u8b6f\u5f88\u5dee\ufe50\u5b8c\u5168\u504f\u96e2\u4e86\u8a72\u66f8\u7684\u539f\u610f\ufe50\u56e0\u70ba\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u6839\u672c\u548c\u81f4\u5bcc\u7121\u95dc\u3002\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u7684\u4e3b\u65e8\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\ufe50\u4e00\u53e5\u8aaa\u8a71\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u5b8c\ufe50\u4f46\u540c\u6642\u4ea6\u6311\u6230\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u4eba\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u89c0\u3002\u4eba\u5011\u4ee5\u70ba\u6210\u529f\u5168\u56e0\u4e00\u5df1\u52aa\u529b\u6216\u773c\u5149\ufe50\u770b\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u81ea\u5df1\u547d\u904b\u7684\u80cc\u5f8c\ufe50\u5f80\u5f80\u53d7\u5230\u96a8\u6a5f\u4e8b\u4ef6\u64fa\u4f48\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\u3002 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bias)\ufe50\u4ed6\u5011\u770b\u4f3c\u5e74\u5e74\u8cfa\u9322\ufe50\u4e0d\u904e\u4ea6\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e00\u8216\u8f38\u6e05\u5149\u3002\u7528\u5ee3\u6771\u8a71\u5f65\u8a9e\u8aaa\ufe50\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u73a9\u300c\u8d0f\u7c92\u7cd6\ufe50\u8f38\u9593\u5ee0\u300d\u7684\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u904a\u6232\u3002 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&quot;\u66f8\u8a55&quot;","block_context":{"text":"\u66f8\u8a55","link":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/category\/_books\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/12\/9780141031484.jpg?fit=429%2C650&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":4869,"url":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/2010\/11\/17\/%e9%87%91%e9%8c%a2%e7%9a%84%e6%95%85%e4%ba%8b-the-ascent-of-money-%e2%80%93-niall-ferguson\/","url_meta":{"origin":5440,"position":3},"title":"\u91d1\u9322\u7684\u6545\u4e8b The Ascent of Money \u2013 Niall Ferguson","author":"hevangel","date":"November 17, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"\u4e0a\u6b21\u53bb\u5370\u5ea6\u6642\u8cb7\u4e86\u9019\u672c\u300a\u91d1\u9322\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u300b\ufe50\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u95b1\u8b80\u9032\u5ea6\u751a\u6162\ufe50\u6642\u9694\u534a\u5e74\u53c8\u56de\u5230\u5370\u5ea6\u51fa\u5dee\ufe50\u624d\u6709\u6642\u9593\u8b80\u5168\u672c\u66f8\u5beb\u66f8\u8a55\u3002\u96d6\u6709\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u7684\u540d\u7a31\u8aaa\u662f\u95dc\u65bc\u91d1\u9322\ufe50\u6b63\u78ba\u9ede\u4f86\u8aaa\u662f\u95dc\u4fc2\u91d1\u878d\u9ad4\u4fc2\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u662f\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u6559\u6388\ufe50\u61c9PBS\u96fb\u8996\u53f0\u9080\u8acb\ufe50\u62cd\u651d\u8b1b\u8ff0\u91d1\u878d\u6b77\u53f2\u7684\u8a18\u9304\u7bc0\u76ee\u3002\u96fb\u8996\u7bc0\u76ee\u53eb\u597d\u53eb\u5ea7\ufe50\u4f5c\u8005\u4ea6\u9806\u52e2\u628a\u7bc0\u76ee\u5167\u5bb9\u6574\u7406\u51fa\u66f8\ufe50\u516d\u96c6\u7bc0\u76ee\u8b8a\u70ba\u66f8\u4e2d\u7684\u516d\u7ae0\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u5f9e\u96fb\u8996\u7bc0\u76ee\u6539\u7bc7\u6210\u66f8\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\ufe50\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u8b80\u8d77\u4f86\u5341\u5206\u5bb9\u6613\ufe50\u4e0d\u904e\u5167\u5bb9\u5247\u53d7\u539f\u88dd\u96fb\u8996\u7bc0\u76ee\u7d50\u69cb\u7684\u9650\u5236\ufe50\u6bcf\u4e00\u7ae0\u4e5f\u662f\u500b\u7368\u7acb\u55ae\u5143\ufe50\u8b80\u8d77\u4f86\u7f3a\u4e4f\u9023\u8cab\u6027\u3002\u5167\u5bb9\u70ba\u9077\u5c31\u96fb\u8996\u89c0\u773e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\ufe50\u52a0\u5165\u5f88\u591a\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u6545\u4e8b\ufe50\u4f46\u524d\u56e0\u5f8c\u679c\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u5206\u6790\u5247\u76f8\u5c0d\u8f03\u5f31\u3002 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&quot;\u66f8\u8a55&quot;","block_context":{"text":"\u66f8\u8a55","link":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/category\/_books\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.horace.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/ascent-of-money.jpg?fit=500%2C500&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":14252,"url":"https:\/\/www.horace.org\/blog\/2020\/10\/21\/reminiscences-of-a-stock-operator-edwin-lefevre\/","url_meta":{"origin":5440,"position":4},"title":"Reminiscences of a Stock Operator &#8211; Edwin Lefevre","author":"hevangel","date":"October 21, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"\u6211\u6700\u8fd1\u807d\u591a\u4e86\u6295\u8cc7\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u6559\u5b78\uff0c\u4e0d\u7d04\u800c\u540c\u7684\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u90fd\u63d0\u53ca\u4e00\u4ee3\u80a1\u795eJesse Livermore\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u5fc3\u6cd5\u66f4\u88ab\u5949\u70ba\u91d1\u79d1\u7389\u5f8b\u3002\u80a1\u795e\u662f\u904e\u767e\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u50b3\u5947\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u53ea\u6191\u7092\u8ce3\u80a1\u7968\u671f\u8ca8\u6210\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u9996\u5bcc\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u8eab\u5bb6\u8d85\u904e\u4e00\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9019\u672c\u300a\u80a1\u795e\u56de\u61b6\u9304\u300b1923\u5e74\u51fa\u7248\uff0c\u8a18\u9304\u4ed6\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d00\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u767c\u8de1\u53f2\uff0c\u4ea6\u662f\u4ed6\u6700\u7147\u714c\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u751f\u6daf\u9ad8\u5cf0\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5e95\u4e0b\u7121\u65b0\u9bae\u4e8b\uff0c\u4e00\u767e\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u667a\u6167\u4eca\u5929\u4f9d\u7136\u9069\u7528\uff0c\u64da\u8aaa\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u4eba\u624b\u4e00\u672c\u7684\u6307\u5b9a\u8ab2\u672c\u3002\u8af7\u523a\u662f\u4e00\u4ee3\u80a1\u795e\u7684\u4e0b\u5834\uff0c\u7adf\u7136\u662f\u5728\u4e09\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u5927\u856d\u689d\u6642\uff0c\u7092\u8f38\u80a1\u7968\u7834\u7522\u81ea\u6bba\u6536\u5834\u3002\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u7ae0\uff0c\u80a1\u795e\u4ea6\u52f8\u8aa1\u8b80\u8005\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u6c38\u9060\u8dd1\u8d0f\u5927\u5e02\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u4eba\u4e00\u534a\u640d\u624b\u96e2\u5834\u3002 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